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Red101
914612.4
461343.1
941110.6
Blue52
959916.8
749711.7
47395.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77230406010012010152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.5
41.441.9
Auto16.0
Teleop24.4
End2.7
red by 26.3
9599
#24
16.81.8
14.115.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
Second
9146
#37
12.40.7
11.612.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End1.6
red by 0.7
7497
#43
11.71.8
9.711.5
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
9411
#26
10.60.7
9.910.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 5.4
4739
#46
5.21.8
3.45.2
Auto2.1
Teleop2.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed