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Red74
587614.1
313222.6
850311.9
Blue73
914713.0
481710.7
477425.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5153203040607080907473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#21
22.60.5
21.922.4
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 2.9
25.50.4
25.025.5
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
5876
#10
14.10.5
13.413.9
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.5
red by 1.1
9147
#17
13.00.5
12.513.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Third
8503
#18
11.90.4
11.311.7
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
red by 1.2
4817
#11
10.70.4
10.310.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End1.9