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Red73
743322.9
650820.6
942711.6
Blue80
425320.2
643414.1
558425.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58662040801001207380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.5
22.422.9
Auto8.8
Teleop12.9
End1.2
blue by 2.6
25.40.3
25.025.3
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End3.3
Second
20.60.5
20.220.6
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End1.9
red by 0.5
20.20.2
19.820.1
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End0.4
Third
9427
#20
11.60.5
11.111.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.3
End1.6
blue by 2.5
6434
#38
14.10.3
14.114.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.6