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Red66
699616.7
959916.8
478817.9
Blue52
850311.9
313222.6
587614.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5651204060801006652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
#12
17.90.3
17.417.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 4.6
3132
#21
22.60.1
21.821.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.3
Second
9599
#24
16.80.3
16.316.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
red by 2.6
5876
#10
14.10.1
13.313.4
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Third
6996
#14
16.70.3
16.216.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End1.4
red by 4.8
8503
#18
11.90.1
11.311.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3