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Red56
587614.1
313222.6
850311.9
Blue75
425320.2
957412.1
558425.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5165204060801001205675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#21
22.60.2
22.422.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 2.9
25.40.3
25.325.7
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End3.3
Second
5876
#10
14.10.2
13.914.1
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 6.0
20.20.3
20.120.4
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End0.4
Third
8503
#18
11.90.2
11.711.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
blue by 0.2
9574
#15
12.10.3
11.812.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7