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Red68
699616.7
959916.8
478817.9
Blue83
425320.2
643414.1
558425.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5369204060801001206883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
#12
17.90.5
17.417.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 7.5
25.40.3
25.726.0
Auto9.7
Teleop12.4
End3.3
Second
9599
#24
16.80.5
16.316.8
Auto5.4
Teleop9.9
End1.5
blue by 3.4
20.20.3
20.420.7
Auto5.1
Teleop14.6
End0.4
Third
6996
#14
16.70.5
16.216.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End1.4
red by 2.6
6434
#38
14.10.3
14.314.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.5
End1.6