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Red13
99919.3
99895.1
650910.2
Blue0
99992.3
99942.4
92755.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323101020405060130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6509
Unranked
10.20.4
9.18.8
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End1.9
red by 4.5
9275
Unranked
5.71.7
5.77.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End0.9
Second
9991
Unranked
9.30.4
3.53.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
red by 6.8
9994
Unranked
2.41.8
3.51.7
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End0.2
Third
9989
Unranked
5.10.4
3.53.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End0.8
red by 2.7
9999
Unranked
2.31.8
3.51.7
Auto1.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed