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Red10
99865.6
99876.0
99981.4
Blue3
88766.8
65242.1
99724.7
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50210406080100120140160103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9987
Unranked
6.00.1
3.53.5
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 0.9
8876
Unranked
6.80.0
6.86.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Second
9986
Unranked
5.60.1
3.53.5
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
red by 0.8
9972
Unranked
4.72.3
3.51.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Third
9998
Unranked
1.40.1
3.53.5
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.2
End0.3
blue by 0.7
6524
Unranked
2.12.3
9.16.8
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed