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Red57
91909.0
71137.8
478823.6
Blue27
919121.1
94339.1
99851.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422802060801001205727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
Unranked
23.61.1
17.919.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 2.5
9191
Unranked
21.10.3
10.210.5
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Second
9190
Unranked
9.01.7
9.010.7
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
blue by 0.1
9433
Unranked
9.10.3
10.210.5
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Third
7113
Unranked
7.81.5
9.110.7
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
red by 6.0
9985
Unranked
1.90.3
3.53.9
Auto0.2
Teleop1.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed