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Red19
99956.4
99716.5
99977.0
Blue30
99931.8
999021.9
99708.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37350102030405060701930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9997
Unranked
7.00.4
3.53.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.6
blue by 15.0
9990
Unranked
21.92.2
3.55.7
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End1.3
Second
9971
Unranked
6.50.4
3.53.9
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End1.5
blue by 2.0
9970
Unranked
8.52.2
3.55.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Third
9995
Unranked
6.40.4
3.53.9
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
red by 4.6
9993
Unranked
1.82.2
3.55.7
Auto-0.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed