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Red10
65242.1
99942.4
99876.0
Blue17
99924.2
99919.3
99977.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28270102040501017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9987
Unranked
6.00.4
3.53.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 3.3
9991
Unranked
9.30.7
3.23.9
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Second
9994
Unranked
2.40.4
1.71.3
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End0.2
blue by 4.5
9997
Unranked
7.00.7
3.94.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Third
6524
Unranked
2.10.4
6.86.4
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End0.7
blue by 2.1
9992
Unranked
4.20.7
3.54.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed