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Red27
919121.1
99724.7
99942.4
Blue66
478823.6
99992.3
999021.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214501001502766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9191
Unranked
21.11.2
14.415.5
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End1.3
blue by 2.5
4788
Unranked
23.62.0
20.122.1
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Second
9972
Unranked
4.71.2
0.51.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
blue by 17.2
9990
Unranked
21.93.3
9.512.8
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End1.3
Third
9994
Unranked
2.41.2
1.52.7
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End0.2
red by 0.1
9999
Unranked
2.33.3
1.75.0
Auto1.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed