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Red7
99981.4
99992.3
99931.8
Blue19
94339.1
478823.6
99924.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224306080100120719

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9999
Unranked
2.30.7
5.04.3
Auto1.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 21.3
4788
Unranked
23.61.1
22.121.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Second
9993
Unranked
1.80.7
2.21.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
blue by 7.4
9433
Unranked
9.11.1
9.78.6
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Third
9998
Unranked
1.40.7
2.11.4
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.2
End0.3
blue by 2.8
9992
Unranked
4.21.8
3.31.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed