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Red7
99895.1
92755.7
65242.1
Blue38
919121.1
91909.0
99724.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16330406080100738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9275
Unranked
5.71.3
8.37.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End0.9
blue by 15.4
9191
Unranked
21.11.0
16.717.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Second
9989
Unranked
5.11.3
4.83.5
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End0.8
blue by 3.9
9190
Unranked
9.01.0
10.511.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Third
6524
Unranked
2.11.3
5.23.9
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End0.7
blue by 2.6
9972
Unranked
4.71.0
1.72.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed