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Red13
99919.3
99992.3
99851.9
Blue25
99956.4
71137.8
650910.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173004060801325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9991
Unranked
9.30.3
4.24.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
blue by 0.9
6509
Unranked
10.20.1
8.18.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End1.9
Second
9999
Unranked
2.30.3
4.34.6
Auto1.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 5.5
7113
Unranked
7.80.1
8.38.4
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Third
9985
Unranked
1.90.3
1.72.0
Auto0.2
Teleop1.1
End0.6
blue by 4.5
9995
Unranked
6.40.1
6.06.1
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed