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Red12
88766.8
99977.0
99942.4
Blue10
94339.1
99931.8
99876.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251901030405060701210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9997
Unranked
7.01.1
5.34.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.6
blue by 2.2
9433
Unranked
9.10.4
8.68.2
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Second
8876
Unranked
6.81.1
9.38.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0
red by 0.9
9987
Unranked
6.00.7
5.85.2
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Third
9994
Unranked
2.41.1
2.71.5
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End0.2
red by 0.7
9993
Unranked
1.80.7
1.50.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed