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Red34
99895.1
999021.9
99724.7
Blue10
71137.8
99992.3
99981.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28150204060801003410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9990
Unranked
21.91.0
16.917.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End1.3
red by 14.1
7113
Unranked
7.80.7
7.76.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Second
9989
Unranked
5.10.9
3.84.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.4
End0.8
red by 2.7
9999
Unranked
2.30.7
4.03.2
Auto1.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Third
9972
Unranked
4.71.0
3.94.9
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
red by 3.3
9998
Unranked
1.40.7
0.90.2
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed