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Red6
99992.3
99931.8
92755.7
Blue11
99977.0
99956.4
65242.1
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15200406080100120611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9275
Unranked
5.70.7
6.55.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End0.9
blue by 1.3
9997
Unranked
7.00.8
5.64.8
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Second
9999
Unranked
2.30.8
3.22.5
Auto1.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 4.0
9995
Unranked
6.40.9
6.45.5
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Third
9993
Unranked
1.80.6
1.50.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
blue by 0.4
6524
Unranked
2.10.8
3.32.5
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed