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Red47
99977.0
478823.6
99942.4
Blue32
91909.0
99724.7
88766.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332304060804732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
Unranked
23.60.9
22.022.9
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 14.6
9190
Unranked
9.01.5
11.19.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Second
9997
Unranked
7.01.2
4.86.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.6
red by 0.1
8876
Unranked
6.81.5
7.05.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Third
9994
Unranked
2.41.2
0.71.9
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End0.2
blue by 2.3
9972
Unranked
4.71.8
4.93.1
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed