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Red24
99716.5
99724.7
99865.6
Blue12
99992.3
99931.8
99876.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201203040506070802412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9971
Unranked
6.51.0
5.76.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End1.5
red by 0.6
9987
Unranked
6.00.0
5.05.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Second
9986
Unranked
5.60.9
4.35.2
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
red by 3.2
9999
Unranked
2.30.0
2.52.4
Auto1.3
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Third
9972
Unranked
4.71.1
3.14.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0
red by 3.0
9993
Unranked
1.80.0
0.90.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed