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Red46
99919.3
99924.2
999021.9
Blue10
65242.1
99981.4
94339.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37902060801004610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9990
Unranked
21.91.6
18.319.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End1.3
red by 12.8
9433
Unranked
9.10.1
7.97.8
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Second
9991
Unranked
9.31.5
7.18.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
red by 7.1
6524
Unranked
2.10.2
2.52.3
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End0.7
Third
9992
Unranked
4.21.7
2.84.5
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
red by 2.8
9998
Unranked
1.40.2
1.61.4
Auto2.3
Teleop-1.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed