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Red17
99851.9
92755.7
650910.2
Blue38
478823.6
71137.8
99956.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12460204060801001201738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6509
Unranked
10.20.0
8.38.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End1.9
blue by 13.4
4788
Unranked
23.60.2
22.922.8
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Second
9275
Unranked
5.70.0
5.85.8
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End0.9
blue by 2.2
7113
Unranked
7.80.2
8.17.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Third
9985
Unranked
1.90.0
1.41.3
Auto0.2
Teleop1.1
End0.6
blue by 4.5
9995
Unranked
6.40.2
5.55.3
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed