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Red41
919121.1
99876.0
650910.2
Blue21
94339.1
99977.0
88766.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381402060804121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9191
Unranked
21.10.2
20.120.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End1.3
red by 12.0
9433
Unranked
9.10.0
8.18.1
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Second
6509
Unranked
10.20.2
9.39.4
Auto5.1
Teleop3.1
End1.9
red by 3.2
9997
Unranked
7.00.0
5.85.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.6
Third
9987
Unranked
6.00.2
4.95.0
Auto3.4
Teleop2.0
End0.6
blue by 0.9
8876
Unranked
6.80.0
5.55.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0