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Red26
99942.4
99919.3
99956.4
Blue14
99924.2
71137.8
65242.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30120204060801002614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9991
Unranked
9.30.2
8.99.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
red by 1.4
7113
Unranked
7.80.1
7.97.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Second
9995
Unranked
6.40.2
5.96.1
Auto1.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
red by 2.2
9992
Unranked
4.20.1
4.34.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Third
9994
Unranked
2.40.2
1.92.1
Auto2.7
Teleop-0.5
End0.2
red by 0.3
6524
Unranked
2.10.1
2.22.1
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End0.7