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Red40
88766.8
99977.0
94339.1
Blue16
99924.2
71137.8
65242.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1913010304050604016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9433
Unranked
9.10.2
8.18.4
Auto2.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
red by 1.3
7113
Unranked
7.80.1
7.87.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Second
9997
Unranked
7.00.3
5.96.1
Auto2.6
Teleop3.8
End0.6
red by 2.7
9992
Unranked
4.20.1
4.24.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Third
8876
Unranked
6.80.3
5.55.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.0
red by 4.7
6524
Unranked
2.10.0
2.12.1
Auto0.4
Teleop1.0
End0.7