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Red52
99931.8
999021.9
478823.6
Blue25
99865.6
99708.5
99724.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522004060801001205225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4788
Unranked
23.60.2
23.223.0
Auto9.9
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 15.0
9970
Unranked
8.50.1
8.38.3
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Second
9990
Unranked
21.90.2
21.521.2
Auto5.3
Teleop15.4
End1.3
red by 16.3
9986
Unranked
5.60.1
5.35.4
Auto3.4
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Third
9993
Unranked
1.80.2
1.31.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop2.0
End0.4
blue by 3.0
9972
Unranked
4.70.1
4.44.5
Auto1.8
Teleop1.9
End1.0