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Red67
26474.2
418322.3
242919.6
Blue30
182812.3
121211.5
23758.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402902060801006730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.31.1
13.414.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End0.6
red by 9.9
1828
#21
12.30.2
12.712.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Second
19.61.4
15.116.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End0.4
red by 8.1
1212
#39
11.50.3
10.510.7
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End0.3
Third
2647
#37
4.21.9
6.88.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End-0.2
blue by 4.4
2375
#41
8.60.2
4.44.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed