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Red61
317916.8
116520.0
977716.0
Blue16
31877.5
77038.8
647913.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423102060801001201406116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1165
#13
20.00.9
13.814.7
Auto6.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
red by 6.5
6479
#34
13.51.5
12.811.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Second
3179
#23
16.81.0
13.414.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
red by 8.0
7703
#29
8.81.5
7.76.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
9777
#14
16.00.9
9.810.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.3
red by 8.6
3187
#27
7.51.5
8.67.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed