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Red40
385320.4
764515.1
775512.7
Blue22
17267.6
55398.5
808711.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423102060801001201401604022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.2
12.713.0
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
red by 8.8
8087
#11Sur
11.60.7
7.97.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.6
Second
7645
#20Sur
15.10.2
9.69.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 6.6
5539
#40
8.51.2
7.86.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End0.8
Third
7755
#33
12.70.2
14.014.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 5.1
1726
#22
7.61.2
13.412.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed