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Red49
822.5
502623.5
635219.3
Blue44
182812.3
301914.5
29424.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4949304060704944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.2
14.214.3
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End0.8
blue by 0.9
294
#8Sur
24.50.0
19.919.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End2.8
Second
8
#15Sur
22.50.2
14.814.9
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End1.2
red by 8.0
3019
#26
14.50.0
9.59.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Third
6352
#17
19.30.2
17.617.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End1.9
red by 6.9
1828
#21
12.30.0
12.912.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed