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Red60
822.5
77038.8
121211.5
Blue4
68335.3
55398.5
69226.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38170103050607080604

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
#15
22.50.2
14.915.1
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End1.2
red by 14.0
5539
#40
8.51.5
6.65.0
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End0.8
Second
1212
#39
11.50.3
10.711.1
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End0.3
red by 5.4
6922
#35
6.11.5
9.27.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Third
7703
#29
8.80.3
6.36.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 3.5
6833
#38
5.30.9
2.11.2
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed