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Red18
775512.7
182812.3
17267.6
Blue40
69814.8
647913.5
49835.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4158020801001840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7755
#33
12.71.4
14.212.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 22.4
498
#2
35.10.8
25.925.1
Auto6.9
Teleop27.5
End0.7
Second
1828
#21
12.31.4
12.811.4
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.4
blue by 2.4
698
#31
14.80.8
14.313.5
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Third
1726
#22
7.62.4
12.29.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End1.8
blue by 5.9
6479
#34
13.51.3
9.98.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed