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Red111
385320.4
49835.1
641327.2
Blue15
394412.6
69814.8
26474.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6838020608010012014011115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
35.13.2
25.128.3
Auto6.9
Teleop27.5
End0.7
red by 20.3
698
#31
14.81.5
13.512.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Second
6413
#10
27.23.2
19.823.0
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End1.0
red by 14.6
3944
#24
12.62.5
16.213.7
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End1.8
Third
20.43.2
13.016.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
red by 16.2
2647
#37
4.22.5
8.05.5
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed