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Red40
68335.3
977716.0
17267.6
Blue85
884818.5
502623.5
182812.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204904060801004085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9777
#14
16.01.2
11.212.4
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.3
blue by 7.5
23.51.3
16.117.3
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End0.8
Second
1726
#22
7.62.1
9.811.9
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End1.8
blue by 10.8
8848
#12
18.52.1
13.715.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Third
6833
#38
5.31.2
0.31.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
blue by 7.1
1828
#21
12.31.3
11.412.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned3%Ensemble oddsMissed