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Red49
301914.5
317916.8
242919.6
Blue43
69226.1
905911.3
764515.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48280204060801004943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.60.8
16.015.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End0.4
red by 4.5
7645
#20
15.10.5
9.28.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Second
3179
#23
16.80.8
14.814.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
red by 5.4
9059
#19
11.30.5
11.010.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Third
3019
#26
14.50.8
9.99.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 8.4
6922
#35
6.10.8
7.66.9
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned