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Red40
77038.8
635219.3
23758.6
Blue91
418322.3
385320.4
822.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295602040801001204091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6352
#17
19.30.7
17.017.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End1.9
blue by 3.2
8
#15
22.52.9
15.118.0
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Second
7703
#29
8.81.2
7.48.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 13.5
22.32.9
16.119.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End0.6
Third
2375
#41
8.60.7
4.85.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.0
blue by 11.8
20.42.9
16.219.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed