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Red60
182812.3
247815.2
317916.8
Blue26
35776.9
544917.9
26474.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48290204060801006026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#23
16.80.6
14.014.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
blue by 1.1
5449
#18
17.90.2
15.815.6
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Second
2478
#16
15.20.6
14.415.0
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
red by 8.3
3577
#36
6.90.2
7.06.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Third
1828
#21
12.30.6
12.713.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.4
red by 8.1
2647
#37
4.20.2
5.55.2
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed