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Red40
31877.5
41469.6
418322.3
Blue84
977716.0
394412.6
822.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38492060804084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.3
19.019.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End0.6
blue by 0.2
8
#15
22.50.3
18.017.8
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Second
4146
#30
9.60.3
8.48.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End0.6
blue by 6.4
9777
#14
16.00.3
12.412.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.3
Third
3187
#27
7.50.4
8.69.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
blue by 5.1
3944
#24
12.60.4
12.512.1
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned