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Red61
121211.5
242919.6
741919.6
Blue78
635219.3
116520.0
385320.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436120801001206178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.61.2
15.416.6
Auto6.1
Teleop12.8
End0.7
blue by 0.7
20.41.0
19.120.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
Second
19.61.2
15.316.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End0.4
blue by 0.4
1165
#13
20.01.0
16.217.2
Auto6.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Third
1212
#39
11.52.0
10.312.3
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End0.3
blue by 7.8
6352
#17
19.31.0
17.718.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned