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Red48
544917.9
775512.7
29424.5
Blue33
970411.9
418322.3
55398.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44372030405060704833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#8
24.51.0
15.716.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End2.8
red by 2.2
22.30.2
13.613.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End0.6
Second
5449
#18
17.91.0
9.110.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
red by 5.9
9704
#28
11.90.2
11.411.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End0.2
Third
7755
#33
12.70.7
13.814.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.8
red by 4.2
5539
#40
8.50.3
8.98.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed