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Red90
67029.1
242919.6
394412.6
Blue18
17267.6
35776.9
77038.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51280102040607080909018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#1
29.12.4
19.822.2
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End0.5
red by 20.3
7703
#29
8.81.1
8.97.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Second
19.62.8
12.215.1
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End0.4
red by 12.0
1726
#22
7.61.1
10.69.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Third
3944
#24
12.63.5
11.114.6
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End1.8
red by 5.6
3577
#36
6.91.1
8.87.6
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed