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Red45
970411.9
385320.4
182812.3
Blue38
394412.6
69226.1
116520.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513702060801001204538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.3
20.119.7
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
red by 0.3
1165
#13
20.00.1
17.217.1
Auto6.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Second
1828
#21
12.30.3
13.313.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.4
blue by 0.2
3944
#24
12.60.2
12.111.8
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End1.8
Third
9704
#28
11.90.3
11.411.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End0.2
red by 5.8
6922
#35
6.10.2
5.95.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed