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Qual 442024 Arizona East Regional
Red82
418322.3
301914.5
49835.1
Blue31
67029.1
247815.2
121211.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63580501001508231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
35.11.7
28.9→30.6
Auto6.9
Teleop27.5
End0.7
red by 6.0
670
#1
29.11.5
25.9→24.4
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End0.5
Second
4183
#6
22.31.7
19.3→21.0
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End0.6
red by 7.1
2478
#16
15.21.5
15.0→13.5
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
3019
#26
14.51.7
8.5→10.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 3.0
1212
#39
11.52.5
12.3→9.8
Auto2.8
Teleop8.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed