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Red70
641327.2
647913.5
764515.1
Blue36
77038.8
68335.3
116520.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45270204060801007036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6413
#10
27.21.8
22.224.0
Auto8.6
Teleop17.6
End1.0
red by 7.1
1165
#13
20.00.1
17.117.0
Auto6.1
Teleop12.6
End1.3
Second
7645
#20
15.11.8
9.010.8
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 6.3
7703
#29
8.80.1
7.77.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Third
6479
#34
13.53.0
7.610.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End1.0
red by 8.3
6833
#38
5.30.1
2.22.1
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned