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Red54
635219.3
943226.1
182812.3
Blue70
49835.1
266212.1
247815.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606040507080905470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.0
23.523.5
Auto10.1
Teleop14.8
End1.2
blue by 9.0
498
#2
35.11.1
30.631.7
Auto6.9
Teleop27.5
End0.7
Second
6352
#17
19.30.0
18.118.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.9
End1.9
red by 4.0
2478
#16
15.21.1
13.514.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
1828
#21
12.30.0
13.012.9
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End0.4
red by 0.2
2662
#25
12.11.1
9.911.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed