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Red35
544917.9
69226.1
970411.9
Blue65
741919.6
822.5
67029.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32710204060801001203565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5449
#18
17.90.0
16.716.6
Auto7.5
Teleop8.4
End1.9
blue by 11.2
670
#1
29.10.3
24.424.7
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End0.5
Second
9704
#28
11.90.0
11.111.0
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End0.2
blue by 10.5
8
#15
22.50.3
17.417.7
Auto6.6
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Third
6922
#35
6.10.0
5.65.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End0.3
blue by 13.5
19.60.3
18.118.5
Auto6.1
Teleop12.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed