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Red71
977716.0
418322.3
808711.6
Blue32
301914.5
69814.8
17267.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48402060807132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.9
21.021.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.0
End0.6
red by 7.5
698
#31
14.80.3
14.614.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.0
End2.3
Second
9777
#14
16.00.9
13.714.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.1
End2.3
red by 1.6
3019
#26
14.50.3
10.29.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Third
8087
#11
11.60.9
7.78.6
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End1.6
red by 3.9
1726
#22
7.60.5
12.211.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed