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Red41
77038.8
764515.1
394412.6
Blue32
23758.6
26474.2
248612.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35230102030405060704132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7645
#20
15.10.7
10.811.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.6
red by 2.3
2486
#32
12.80.5
12.412.9
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End0.9
Second
3944
#24
12.61.1
11.813.0
Auto6.1
Teleop4.6
End1.8
red by 4.0
2375
#41
8.60.5
6.26.7
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Third
7703
#29
8.81.1
7.68.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End1.1
red by 4.6
2647
#37
4.20.8
3.94.6
Auto0.9
Teleop3.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed