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Red68
385320.4
55398.5
502623.5
Blue28
41469.6
35776.9
647913.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512204060801006828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.51.7
17.919.6
Auto10.8
Teleop11.9
End0.8
red by 10.0
6479
#34
13.50.5
10.610.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.5
End1.0
Second
20.41.7
19.721.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.1
red by 10.8
4146
#30
9.60.3
8.07.7
Auto2.4
Teleop6.6
End0.6
Third
5539
#40
8.52.6
4.97.6
Auto4.5
Teleop3.2
End0.8
red by 1.6
3577
#36
6.90.5
4.43.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed