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Red34
23758.6
970411.9
317916.8
Blue38
17267.6
943226.1
31877.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36542060801003438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#23
16.80.0
16.616.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
blue by 9.4
26.11.6
27.525.9
Auto10.1
Teleop14.8
End1.2
Second
9704
#28
11.90.0
12.011.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.4
End0.2
red by 4.3
1726
#22
7.61.9
9.57.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Third
2375
#41
8.60.0
6.16.1
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.0
red by 1.1
3187
#27
7.51.9
9.47.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned